Bernstein sees new USDC growth cycle, sets $140 Circle price target

Bernstein sees new USDC growth cycle, sets $140 Circle price target img1
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Written by Sam Bourgistaff writerReviewed by Robert Lakinstaff editor

Written by Sam Bourgistaff writer

Reviewed by Robert Lakinstaff editor

Bernstein sees new USDC growth cycle, sets $140 Circle price target

Latest NewsPublishedAug 24, 2026

USDC supply increased by roughly $2 billion in seven days, with Bernstein citing higher transaction activity and several factors that could support further growth.

Analysts at Bernstein are bullish on stablecoin issuer Circle, arguing that a new growth cycle for its USDC stablecoin could provide a notable boost for the company over the next 12 months.

In a research note published Monday, Bernstein stated USDC (USDC) is showing signs of what it called “digital dollar reflation” after its supply increased by roughly $2 billion in seven days, reversing a six-month stretch of stagnant or declining growth. The firm maintained an Outperform rating on Circle (CRCL) and a $140 price target, implying roughly 60% upside from current levels. Circle shares have risen roughly 40% over the past month.

Bernstein stated the next phase of stablecoin growth could be driven by several factors, including renewed momentum in crypto markets, greater regulatory clarity in the United States, tokenized capital markets and growing adoption of stablecoins for payments. The analysts also pointed to early signs of stablecoin utilize in payments made by artificial intelligence agents.

Although USDC remains the second-largest dollar-backed stablecoin by market capitalization, well behind Tether’s USDt (USDT), it has gained notable ground in transaction activity. Bernstein stated USDC’s share of adjusted stablecoin transaction volume rose from roughly 40% in 2025 to more than 60% so far in 2026, overtaking USDt by that measure.

Stablecoin transaction volume has grown significantly this year. Source: Bernstein

Related: MiCA is coming for DeFi vaults, but regulation will be difficult

Circle’s volatile path since its IPO

Circle shares have experienced notable swings since the company went public in June 2025. The stablecoin issuer priced its shares at $31 and raised roughly $1.1 billion in its initial public offering. After surging in the months following its debut, the stock had fallen back toward its IPO price by November 2025 as a broader crypto market downturn weighed on publicly traded companies with exposure to the sector.

In its most recent quarter, Circle reported $701 million in revenue and $48 million in net income, both up from a year earlier.

Related: Western Union brings stablecoin remittances to Visa network with Stablecard

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