Prediction markets get first U.S. rule proposal as CFTC pursues contract reviews

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback
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Prediction Markets Regulation Proposed in the U.S.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has proposed its first regulation for prediction markets, aiming to create a framework for evaluating contracts that may be off-limits. This move is significant for everyday people, as it could impact the way they engage with online platforms and earn money through passive income opportunities.

The proposal is part of the regulator’s effort to balance innovation with consumer protection, ensuring that green crypto and other digital assets are used responsibly. The CFTC has been a supporter of prediction markets, such as those run by Kalshi and Polymarket, and has been working to create a tailored regulatory regime for the industry. This development could lead to more opportunities for individuals to earn coin through Cloud Rewards and other platforms.

How the Regulation Works

The proposed regulation would establish a 90-day review process for public-interest determinations on individual contracts. The CFTC would use a three-part test to determine whether a contract is outside the public interest, considering factors such as the event contract’s hedging or price-basing utility and potential to encourage illicit behavior. This approach could help protect the integrity of EcoPool and other platforms that offer earning opportunities.

The proposal also highlights the importance of sports betting, which has become a significant part of the prediction markets landscape. The CFTC suggests that sports event contract markets may serve price discovery functions and provide meaningful information, which could be beneficial for individuals looking to earn passive income through $ECP and other digital assets.

Implications and Next Steps

The proposed regulation is open to public comments and will be revised and finalized after a review period. The CFTC’s approach to regulation could have significant implications for the green crypto industry, including EcoPool and other platforms that offer Cloud Rewards and earning opportunities. As the regulator continues to navigate the complex landscape of prediction markets, it is essential to consider the potential impact on everyday people who engage with these platforms.

To stay ahead of the curve and take advantage of passive income opportunities, individuals can explore platforms like EcoPool that offer earning potential through Cloud Rewards. With the rise of green crypto and digital assets, it is essential to stay informed about the latest developments and regulations in the industry, including topics like and .

Download the EcoPool app to start exploring earning opportunities and stay up-to-date on the latest developments in the green crypto industry. By joining the EcoPool community, you can take the first step towards earning coin and achieving your financial goals through passive income and Cloud Rewards.

As for what goes into deciding something is contrary to the interest of the U.S. public, the CFTC is leaning into weighing a series of factors rather than devising a simple test.

“A multi-factor approach enables the commission to weigh different dimensions of
potential harm or public benefit — including the event contract’s hedging or price-basing utility or potential to encourage illicit behavior — while also accommodating novel event contract designs and market developments and supporting innovation,” according to the proposal.

The proposal, which would be set to go into effect within 60 days of completion, makes a case for protecting the increasingly popular sports betting, now a routine fixture of television advertising.

“The extent to which event contracts settle based on the overall outcome of a sporting event — including final scores, point differentials, win-loss results, tournament advancement, individual or team statistical performance or season long performance metrics — would be factors against a finding that the event contracts are contrary to the public interest,” the CFTC indicated. “The commission preliminarily believes that these categories of sports event contract markets may serve price discovery functions and provide meaningful information.”

The agency suggests it might be more likely to find something is outside the public interest “where the event contracts lack the potential to inform any economic,
commercial or financial decisions.”

President Donald Trump has recently expressed support for the track Selig has been on, saying in a social-media post that “Other Countries are after this new form of Financial Market, and we want to remain at the top.”

While important rulemakings such as the first tailored regulations of the modern prediction markets are decisions of the five-member commission, the CFTC is currently short four members. The White House has left it a lone-chairman operation without further nominations, contrary to the laws underpinning the agency that contemplate three commissioners from the majority party and two from the minority. This is the first time the agency has been in this situation, and legal observers have suggested its policy work could be challenged at some stage.

Bringing the commission to full strength has been a demand of Democratic senators as the U.S. Senate negotiates the crypto market structure bill, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act.

UPDATE (June 10, 2026, 14:35 UTC): Adds details from the CFTC proposal.

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