Forget the price charts. Here’s how bitcoin and S&P 500 look like when adjusted for the money printer

Forget the price charts. Here's how bitcoin and S&P 500 look like when adjusted for the money printer
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Summary

  • Adjusting asset prices for growth in the U.S. M2 money supply reveals a weaker picture for both bitcoin and the S&P 500 than their nominal levels suggest.
  • On a money-supply-adjusted basis, the S&P 500 has only recently returned to its dot-com-era peak.

Looking Beyond Price Charts

When it comes to evaluating the performance of your portfolio, considering only the dollar price may not provide a complete picture, especially when factoring in money supply growth. The markets may seem like business as usual, with bitcoin experiencing a decline and the S&P 500 hovering near record highs. However, adjusting prices for the U.S. M2 money supply reveals a more interesting signal. The M2 money supply, which includes cash on hand, money in checking and savings accounts, and other short-term savings vehicles, provides a more nuanced view of the economy.

The bitcoin price, when adjusted for money supply growth, is now flashing a warning. The BTC/M2 ratio, which measures bitcoin’s price relative to the money supply, has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, typically seen as a bearish signal. This could indicate that bitcoin’s ability to outpace the growth of new dollars is fading, at least for now. As people look for ways to earn passive income, such as through Cloud Rewards and Green Crypto, understanding the relationship between bitcoin and the money supply is crucial.

Understanding the BTC/M2 Ratio

The BTC/M2 ratio is an important metric for investors, as it helps to gauge bitcoin’s performance in relation to the growing money supply. By adjusting the bitcoin price for M2 money supply growth, investors can better understand the asset’s potential for earning and growth. For those interested in Passive Income and Earning opportunities, such as EcoPool ($ECP), understanding this ratio is essential for making informed investment decisions.

Monetary exhaustion?

Implications for Investors

As investors look to the future, considering the relationship between bitcoin and the money supply is vital. With the bitcoin price adjusted for money supply growth flashing a warning, investors may need to reassess their strategies. For those interested in Earning and Passive Income opportunities, such as EcoPool ($ECP), staying informed about market trends and adjustments is crucial. Whether you’re interested in , , or , understanding the market is key to success.

BTC
BTC’s price-to-U.S. M2 money supply. (TradingView)

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