Cboe revives S&P 500 binary options, chasing a market popularized by Polymarket, Kalshi

Prediction markets are ditching the 'casino' label to become a regular part of how people track the news
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Summary

  • Cboe is reintroducing S&P 500 binary options, a yes-or-no bet on whether the index crosses a set level, after shelving similar products more than a decade ago.
  • The exchange is adding a new feature based on a vertical spread, allowing traders to receive partial payouts as the index moves instead of the traditional all-or-nothing outcome.
  • Cboe’s move, alongside efforts by Meta and Nasdaq, reflects growing mainstream interest in prediction-style markets that have been popularized by crypto-native platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Cboe, one of the largest U.S. derivatives exchanges, stated it is entering the prediction-market arena and is reviving binary options on the S&P 500 index after abandoning them more than a decade ago, a move that brings it into competition with platforms such as Kalshi and the crypto-native Polymarket.

A binary option is a yes-or-no bet that pays a fixed amount if an outcome occurs, in this case whether the benchmark U.S. equity index crosses a specific level. That is close to what Polymarket and Kalshi already offer, though their offerings go beyond stock market forecasts to cover political and sporting outcomes as well as other topics.

The introduction follows Cboe’s success with same-day S&P 500 options, contracts that expire within hours and now make up about 30% of U.S. options volume, calling attention to the demand for fast, outcome-based trades.

“Investors increasingly seek products that allow them to express a specific view on future events and market outcomes,” stated Milan Galik, CEO of Interactive Brokers, which is carrying the binary contracts, in a statement.

The contracts will also become available on Charles Schwab later this year.

Second time round

Cboe has tried this market before. It first listed binary options on the S&P 500 and the Cboe Volatility Index in 2008, but they failed to draw interest and were pulled, with the last such contract expiring in 2017.

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