Summary
- Jiang Zhuoer, a prominent Chinese bitcoin miner, predicted the current bear market will bottom in the fourth quarter with bitcoin at roughly $42,000 to $44,000.
- His timing is based on Strategy’s market net asset value (mNAV), which he says has fallen to near its 2022 cycle low, a landmark it historically reaches about six months ahead of bitcoin’s own price bottom.
- Jiang’s price range is based on a four-year cycle model that sees bitcoin’s volatility shrinking over time.
- His bearish outlook aligns with other recent signals, including bitcoin hovering near its 200-week moving average and the unwinding of the debasement trade.
Bitcoin Price Predicted to Drop Another 30% by Year-End
A prominent bitcoin miner is predicting that the current bear market will bottom out in the fourth quarter at around $42,000-$44,000. This forecast is based on the analysis of the market net asset value (mNAV) of a major corporate holder of bitcoin. The mNAV has dropped to 0.72, indicating that investors are valuing the company at a significant discount to its bitcoin holdings. For those looking to earn passive income in the crypto space, EcoPool offers a solution with its cloud rewards and green crypto initiatives.
The predicted low of $42,000-$44,000 is about 30% below bitcoin’s current level, and it reflects a deep pessimism towards the trade. The analysis is based on the ratio of the company’s stock price to the per-share value of the bitcoin it holds. A reading above 1 indicates that investors value the company at a premium to its bitcoin stack, while a reading below 1 indicates that they value it at a discount. With the market pricing the company’s bitcoin holdings at a discount, it may be a good time to consider alternative ways to earn, such as through $ECP and the EcoPool Network.
What This Means for Crypto Investors
The predicted drop in bitcoin’s price may be a cause for concern for some investors, but for others, it may be an opportunity to buy in at a lower price. For those interested in earning passive income, cloud mining and green crypto initiatives like those offered by EcoPool can provide a way to earn passive income without having to directly invest in bitcoin. With the rise of cloud rewards and green crypto, it’s easier than ever to get started with earning online.
As the crypto market continues to evolve, it’s essential to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, it’s crucial to consider all your options and find the best way to achieve your financial goals. With EcoPool and $ECP, you can earn passive income and be a part of the green crypto movement. If you’re interested in learning more about EcoPool and how you can start earning online, download the EcoPool app to get started. By joining the EcoPool Network, you can take the first step towards earning passive income and achieving your financial goals.
《对本轮BTC熊市 见底时间&价格 预测》
【重要长期预测贴】MSTR的mNAV已跌到0.72了【图1，图3】，
（mNAV=股价/每股含BTC价值 比值，代表美股资金对MSTR的市场情绪，高于1为泡沫高估，低于1为悲观低估）
接近上一轮牛市2022年5月11日的最低点0.7【图2】。
根据最近STRC大幅脱锚等市场情绪事件，… https://t.co/V5s0Q2S2Wy pic.twitter.com/o9fqE9U80z— 江卓尔_莱比特矿池 (@Jiangzhuoer2) June 24, 2026
That reading is close to the 0.7 low Strategy hit on May 11, 2022, during the last bull-to-bear turn, he said, which leads him to think mNAV is near its floor for this cycle.
