Bitcoin tops $60K amid Fed inflation talks: Is bull trap or $65K next?

Bitcoin tops $60K amid Fed inflation talks: Is bull trap or $65K next? img1
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Written by Marcel Pechmanstaff writerReviewed by Ray Salmondstaff editor

Written by Marcel Pechmanstaff writer

Reviewed by Ray Salmondstaff editor

Bitcoin tops $60K amid Fed inflation talks: Is bull trap or $65K next?

MarketsPublishedJul 1, 2026

Bitcoin Surpasses $60,000: Understanding the Impact of Fed Inflation Talks

dead-cat-bounce-to-118k-5-things-bitcoin-this-week

Key takeaways:

  • Persistent spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and US dollar strength reduce the odds of a quick bounce to $65,000.
  • Strong AI sector earnings momentum and higher fixed-income returns pull capital from Bitcoin and gold.

Bitcoin has broken through the $60,000 barrier, despite concerns over a potential Federal Reserve rate hike and steady outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. This surge has left many wondering if this is a bull trap or if Bitcoin will continue to rise to $65,000. The recent rally can be attributed to US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments on persistent inflation, which have positively impacted Bitcoin’s value.

The US 5-year Treasury yield has increased to 4.22%, indicating that traders are demanding higher returns to hold government bonds. This shift in investor sentiment, combined with the strengthening of the US dollar, may pose a challenge for non-yield-bearing assets like cryptocurrencies. Despite this, some investors remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential, especially if the Fed’s interest rate decisions and balance sheet management lead to monetary expansion.

Interest Rate Hikes and Their Impact on Bitcoin

The implied odds of interest rate hikes by September have risen to 64%, up from 23% a month ago. This increase in expected returns on fixed-income investments has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may negatively impact alternative hedges like gold and Bitcoin. However, if the US economy experiences a slowdown, particularly in the tech sector, it could lead to increased interest in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a store of value.

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Could the AI sector cool off act as a catalyst for Bitcoin?

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Continued outflows from US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shattered bulls’ hopes, reinforcing a negative price spiral as negative news gets amplified while positive events barely register. 

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: SoSoValue

Regardless of the rationale behind the sales, Bitcoin’s weakness, 53% below its all-time high, does not inspire confidence in the $60,000 support level.

Strategy (MSTR US) increased its cash position to restore a healthy 17 months of dividend coverage on Monday. However, Strategy’s variable-rate Stretch preferred stock (STRC US) continued to trade far from the $100 target required for additional issuances. The STRC dividend rose to 12% from 11.5%, which was apparently not enough to entice more buyers.

Related: Bitcoin just $5K away from ‘best investment opportunity’ of bear market

Bitcoin might have temporarily benefited from Fed Chair Warsh’s concerns about persistent inflation, but rising expectations for higher interest rates and strong earnings momentum in the AI sector may continue to exert negative pressure on Bitcoin. As a result, a sustainable rally to $65,000 could take longer.


This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.

  • Markets
  • Bitcoin Price
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • Bitcoin ETF
  • Market Analysis
  • Stocks
  • Gold
  • Bitcoin

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